Long-Term Investing in a Shifting Landscape

The second quarter of 2024 provided the clearest signals yet that the Fed’s interest rate hiking cycle is having its intended effect. Consumer demand downshifted, housing slowed, and corporate loan defaults increased.

How 2023’s market strength continued into the new year

Whether the markets will continue ascending for the remainder of the year will likely be predicated on corporate earnings. Additionally, investors will need to navigate potential volatility caused by the timing of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a presidential election, and the overall health of the consumer.

Navigating Unpredictability Requires a Long-Term Approach

The fourth quarter, and 2023 in general, provided yet another example of how rapidly things can change in capital markets. After weak returns in the third quarter, intermediate and long-term interest rates moved down sharply to end the year.

Committing to a Long-Term Strategy in the New Year

Nearly every financial publication this time of year includes forecasts for everything from stocks to bonds to GDP growth, inflation, employment, interest rates, election season, and geopolitical unrest.

Strong Portfolio Companies in the Face of Economic Challenges

Both September and the third quarter have well-earned reputations for being the most challenging periods of the calendar year for investors, and both continued that trend in the third quarter of 2023 as all major equity indices posted losses.

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